|
Sector Model
|
XLV
|
0.70%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Date
|
Return
|
Days
|
|
BT
|
8/11/2015
|
-49.96%
|
1293
|
|
TMK
|
11/23/2015
|
41.00%
|
1189
|
|
NVR
|
12/16/2015
|
61.57%
|
1166
|
|
CMP
|
2/19/2016
|
-11.27%
|
1101
|
|
NVR
|
2/22/2016
|
68.38%
|
1098
|
|
AMWD
|
3/17/2016
|
25.28%
|
1074
|
|
CASY
|
5/12/2016
|
21.07%
|
1018
|
|
MFC
|
9/1/2016
|
37.90%
|
906
|
|
SFM
|
9/8/2016
|
19.31%
|
899
|
|
CFFN
|
9/12/2016
|
12.48%
|
895
|
|
FOSL
|
5/11/2017
|
10.46%
|
654
|
|
HIBB
|
7/25/2017
|
35.57%
|
579
|
|
FOSL
|
7/27/2017
|
44.47%
|
577
|
|
HZO
|
8/1/2017
|
27.74%
|
572
|
|
BCE
|
5/31/2018
|
11.82%
|
269
|
|
DFS
|
10/21/2018
|
-2.75%
|
126
|
|
CL
|
10/29/2018
|
11.90%
|
118
|
|
ATVI
|
11/23/2018
|
-18.48%
|
93
|
|
KMI
|
12/31/2018
|
23.65%
|
55
|
|
ALLE
|
2/20/2019
|
1.67%
|
4
|
|
(Since 5/31/2011)
|
|||
|
S&P
|
Annualized
|
9.89%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Annualized
|
13.49%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Annualized
|
12.62%
|
|
|
S&P
|
Total
|
107.51%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Total
|
166.14%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Total
|
150.76%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Advantage
|
3.59%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Advantage
|
2.72%
|
|
|
Previous
|
2019
|
||
|
S&P
|
85.79%
|
11.69%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
129.27%
|
20.29%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
122.54%
|
12.68%
|
Little change of pace between my accounts. I’m experimenting with margin in a small account
and I moved the Sector Model there.
To fill in the gap left by moving the sector model to its own separate account, I’m also adding to my ALLE, CFFN, and CMP positions because they are all back into the buy range. This is a one time event, and I won’t be changing the reported percentage gains from the original buys.
Going forward, I’ll let the rotation proceed normally and let dividends balance the position sizes, with DRIP turned on for any position that’s too small.
FOSL is theoretically ready to sell, with potential purchases of BRKL and APH for the two FOSL positions. But right now they are only on watch. The model has taken the safety off, and the trades could be triggered as early as this week, although it is more likely to be one of the following two weeks.
Other than that, President Trump and China are all smiles and hope. The market doesn’t care which one of them ultimately blinks, just so long as one of them does.
Time will tell.
Tim
To fill in the gap left by moving the sector model to its own separate account, I’m also adding to my ALLE, CFFN, and CMP positions because they are all back into the buy range. This is a one time event, and I won’t be changing the reported percentage gains from the original buys.
Going forward, I’ll let the rotation proceed normally and let dividends balance the position sizes, with DRIP turned on for any position that’s too small.
FOSL is theoretically ready to sell, with potential purchases of BRKL and APH for the two FOSL positions. But right now they are only on watch. The model has taken the safety off, and the trades could be triggered as early as this week, although it is more likely to be one of the following two weeks.
Other than that, President Trump and China are all smiles and hope. The market doesn’t care which one of them ultimately blinks, just so long as one of them does.
Time will tell.
Tim
