12/28/2017 FIG merger left in cash

Full Model	Date	Return	Days
BT	8/11/2015	-45.92%	870
TMK	11/23/2015	53.22%	766
NVR	12/16/2015	112.56%	743
CMP	2/19/2016	11.09%	678
NVR	2/22/2016	121.52%	675
AMWD	3/17/2016	88.81%	651
CASY	5/12/2016	-0.48%	595
AEM	6/7/2016	-6.61%	569
ESRX	6/13/2016	-1.21%	563
AMED	6/16/2016	4.53%	560
FRO	6/27/2016	-34.47%	549
ASTE	7/12/2016	-0.54%	534
MFC	9/1/2016	60.26%	483
SFM	9/8/2016	24.24%	476
CFFN	9/12/2016	3.68%	472
FIG	12/6/2016	62.69%	387
FOSL	5/11/2017	-46.81%	231
HIBB	7/25/2017	56.49%	156
FOSL	7/27/2017	-30.43%	154
HZO	8/1/2017	30.64%	149
(Since 5/31/2011)
S&P	Annualized	10.99%
Sector Model	Annualized	18.44%
Full Model	Annualized	15.09%
S&P	Total	98.62%
Sector Model	Total	204.55%
Full Model	Total	152.13%
Sector Model	Advantage	7.45%
Full Model	Advantage	4.10%
	Previous	2017
S&P	66.43%	19.34%
Sector Model	120.54%	38.09%
Full Model	91.27%	31.82%

FIG cashed out today as a result of a merger, leaving me with a 62.69% profit for the year that I’ve held it.

That position goes into the evening with an opening for another buy to replace it, which I’m calculating tonight.  If I have a favorable setup I’ll make a purchase tomorrow.

Tim

12/6/2017 Sector Trade

The Sector Model sold XLP and bought XLE with a favorable gap.

12/3/2017 Updated Returns

Sector Model	XLP	1.27%
Full Model	Date	Return	Days
BT	8/11/2015	-47.51%	845
TMK	11/23/2015	48.80%	741
NVR	12/16/2015	109.80%	718
CMP	2/19/2016	7.59%	653
NVR	2/22/2016	118.65%	650
AMWD	3/17/2016	86.83%	626
CASY	5/12/2016	6.64%	570
AEM	6/7/2016	-11.90%	544
ESRX	6/13/2016	-15.15%	538
AMED	6/16/2016	4.94%	535
FRO	6/27/2016	-25.59%	524
ASTE	7/12/2016	-4.64%	509
MFC	9/1/2016	62.32%	458
SFM	9/8/2016	20.22%	451
CFFN	9/12/2016	8.13%	447
FIG	12/6/2016	58.06%	362
FOSL	5/11/2017	-53.67%	206
HIBB	7/25/2017	43.13%	131
FOSL	7/27/2017	-39.40%	129
HZO	8/1/2017	44.11%	124
(Since 5/31/2011)
S&P	Annualized	10.94%
Sector Model	Annualized	17.95%
Full Model	Annualized	14.48%
S&P	Total	96.60%
Sector Model	Total	192.92%
Full Model	Total	141.22%
Sector Model	Advantage	7.01%
Full Model	Advantage	3.54%
	Previous	2017
S&P	66.43%	18.12%
Sector Model	120.54%	32.82%
Full Model	91.27%	26.11%

The Sector Model has hit a snag behind the scenes, now that I’ve lost my real time data source.  I have an alternate source that I can use for the constituent stocks within the ETFs, but the constant need to continue to find alternate data sources is annoying.

I can blame Yahoo.

The good news is that the Full Model does not require real time data, and I may decide to move all assets over to it, if it continues to improve relative to the Sector Model.

For now, though, the Sector Model remains in place.

Oh, the taxes, regulations, and impeachment odds?

What does that have to do with investing?

Tim

11/29/2017 Sector Trade

The Sector Model sold XLE and bought XLP.