Sunday, July 29, 2012

07/29/2012 selling NLY, buying UEIC


Small Portfolio
XLF & IAU
9.68%
Position
Date
Return
Days
CSGS
10/3/2011
40.04%
300
NLY
10/25/2011
17.60%
278
KBR
10/27/2011
-6.48%
276
VG
10/27/2011
-49.85%
276
BT
1/4/2012
10.32%
207
SAI
5/30/2012
1.73%
60
XEC
6/5/2012
15.96%
54
DECK
6/15/2012
-7.02%
44
CVX
7/5/2012
1.76%
24
RIMM
7/16/2012
1.72%
13
S&P
Annualized
2.60%
Small Portfolio
Annualized
8.32%
Large Portfolio
Annualized
9.03%



On Monday the model will rotate, selling NLY and buying UEIC (Universal Electronics).

NLY has benefited from the actions of the American Fed, but with the baton being passed to European Treasury intervention, the industries tracked by the model are shifting rapidly.

It would be speculation to dig more into the news than that. 

Personally, I’m not optimistic.  I think last week’s surge was a fake-out.  The market should go down again for a while.  The Mousetrap is timing agnostic, but it’s only fair to say that I have some short positions out there.  On my sector model, XLK looks like a good short for the next move down.

Tim

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