Sector Model
|
XLU
|
-2.56%
|
|
Full Model
|
Date
|
Return
|
Days
|
UVV
|
12/2/2014
|
20.61%
|
125
|
JOY
|
12/8/2014
|
-23.66%
|
119
|
RS
|
12/11/2014
|
1.02%
|
116
|
AGCO
|
1/23/2015
|
7.52%
|
73
|
SSYS
|
3/3/2015
|
-15.91%
|
34
|
PWR
|
3/9/2015
|
0.39%
|
28
|
COG
|
3/25/2015
|
6.40%
|
12
|
BHE
|
3/31/2015
|
0.00%
|
6
|
CBI
|
4/2/2015
|
0.08%
|
4
|
DECK
|
4/2/2015
|
0.45%
|
4
|
(Since 5/31/2011)
|
|||
S&P
|
Annualized
|
11.80%
|
|
Sector Model
|
Annualized
|
22.68%
|
|
Full Model
|
Annualized
|
19.44%
|
|
S&P
|
Total
|
53.65%
|
|
Sector Model
|
Total
|
119.65%
|
|
Full Model
|
Total
|
98.12%
|
|
Sector Model
|
Advantage
|
10.88%
|
|
Full Model
|
Advantage
|
7.63%
|
|
Previous
|
2015
|
||
S&P
|
53.06%
|
0.39%
|
|
Sector Model
|
122.60%
|
-1.32%
|
|
Full Model
|
101.13%
|
-1.50%
|
Long birthday/Passover/Easter weekend for family and
friends. I’m waiting to fly back to Long
Island to get back to work.
The market remains in limbo as everyone tries to process
whether the economy is sound enough to withstand a rise of interest rates this
summer. The news is getting old, and my
guess is that folks will get bullish out of boredom at just the wrong time,
then sell in a panic, then miss out on the next move up (whenever that
happens). It’s a reasonable guess since
it is what the market does 99 percent of the time.
The Sector Model is floundering in utilities:
But the Full Model shows a majority of bullish industries in
play:
PUBLISH
|
Bear
|
TOBACCO
|
Bear
|
UTILCENT
|
Bear
|
ELECTRNX
|
Bull
|
ENGCON
|
Bull
|
HEAVYTRK
|
Bull
|
RAILROAD
|
Bull
|
SHOE
|
Bull
|
STEEL
|
Bull
|
COAL
|
Top
|
OILPROD
|
Top
|
The most significant to DOW theory is Heavy Truck and
Railroad – both bullish for the economy.
I may be blind as a bat, but nothing here points to any
reason for panic.
Open a newspaper, light your cigar from an old coal oven,
turn on the stereo, and kick off your shoes.
That’s what Mr. Market is doing, at least.
Tim
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