Sector Model
|
XLU
|
1.27%
|
|
Full Model
|
Date
|
Return
|
Days
|
BT
|
8/11/2015
|
-40.89%
|
593
|
DY
|
10/30/2015
|
17.93%
|
513
|
TMK
|
11/23/2015
|
27.98%
|
489
|
NVR
|
12/16/2015
|
23.85%
|
466
|
CMP
|
2/19/2016
|
-0.65%
|
401
|
NVR
|
2/22/2016
|
29.07%
|
398
|
ENOC
|
3/15/2016
|
-26.91%
|
376
|
AMWD
|
3/17/2016
|
31.38%
|
374
|
CASY
|
5/12/2016
|
-3.00%
|
318
|
AVB
|
5/24/2016
|
5.96%
|
306
|
AEM
|
6/7/2016
|
-12.23%
|
292
|
ESRX
|
6/13/2016
|
-15.54%
|
286
|
AMED
|
6/16/2016
|
0.67%
|
283
|
FRO
|
6/27/2016
|
-9.01%
|
272
|
ASTE
|
7/12/2016
|
4.35%
|
257
|
MFC
|
9/1/2016
|
30.25%
|
206
|
SFM
|
9/8/2016
|
14.74%
|
199
|
CFFN
|
9/12/2016
|
4.20%
|
195
|
FIG
|
12/6/2016
|
58.68%
|
110
|
PMC
|
3/16/2017
|
4.90%
|
10
|
(Since 5/31/2011)
|
|||
S&P
|
Annualized
|
10.01%
|
|
Sector Model
|
Annualized
|
16.81%
|
|
Full Model
|
Annualized
|
12.82%
|
|
S&P
|
Total
|
74.25%
|
|
Sector Model
|
Total
|
147.06%
|
|
Full Model
|
Total
|
101.84%
|
|
Sector Model
|
Advantage
|
6.80%
|
|
Full Model
|
Advantage
|
2.81%
|
|
Previous
|
2017
|
||
S&P
|
66.43%
|
4.70%
|
|
Sector Model
|
120.54%
|
12.03%
|
|
Full Model
|
91.27%
|
5.53%
|
Slow slugging on the Full Model, while the Sector Model
keeps ticking on target.
The Full Model is currently looking at GNRC as a potential
buy, but it is unlikely to happen this week.
As for the S&P as a whole, the fact that Utilities is
the top pick on the Sector Market should give a clue that cautious industries
are in demand.
I don’t short – but I do get defensive. We have chaos in Washington. While the market may not like it so much,
chaos may not be such a bad thing.
Tim
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