Sunday, February 4, 2018

2/4/2018 Weekend Update

Sector Model
XLP
-1.69%
Full Model
Date
Return
Days
BT
8/11/2015
-46.79%
908
TMK
11/23/2015
48.51%
804
NVR
12/16/2015
85.26%
781
CMP
2/19/2016
8.68%
716
NVR
2/22/2016
93.07%
713
AMWD
3/17/2016
89.61%
689
CASY
5/12/2016
3.92%
633
AEM
6/7/2016
-7.70%
607
ESRX
6/13/2016
0.78%
601
AMED
6/16/2016
2.06%
598
FRO
6/27/2016
-38.42%
587
ASTE
7/12/2016
6.40%
572
MFC
9/1/2016
55.14%
521
SFM
9/8/2016
37.04%
514
CFFN
9/12/2016
1.27%
510
FOSL
5/11/2017
-48.20%
269
HIBB
7/25/2017
69.08%
194
FOSL
7/27/2017
-32.25%
192
HZO
8/1/2017
42.09%
187
CMPR
12/27/2017
35.93%
39
(Since 5/31/2011)
S&P
Annualized
11.32%
Sector Model
Annualized
16.51%
Full Model
Annualized
14.47%
S&P
Total
104.77%
Sector Model
Total
177.68%
Full Model
Total
146.73%
Sector Model
Advantage
5.19%
Full Model
Advantage
3.15%
Previous
2018
S&P
98.38%
3.22%
Sector Model
172.95%
1.73%
Full Model
145.63%
0.45%



Quite a rough week, but the Sector Model (and the S&P) are still above long term trend. 

XLP is a defensive industry, so it’s well positioned for a decline in the market, and the model could flip to XLU at some point this week if the selling continues.

Tim


No comments:

Post a Comment