|
Sector Model
|
XLP
|
0.78%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Date
|
Return
|
Days
|
|
BT
|
8/11/2015
|
-52.94%
|
1097
|
|
TMK
|
11/23/2015
|
46.66%
|
993
|
|
NVR
|
12/16/2015
|
64.19%
|
970
|
|
CMP
|
2/19/2016
|
0.73%
|
905
|
|
NVR
|
2/22/2016
|
71.11%
|
902
|
|
AMWD
|
3/17/2016
|
23.04%
|
878
|
|
CASY
|
5/12/2016
|
-0.95%
|
822
|
|
AEM
|
6/7/2016
|
-19.01%
|
796
|
|
ESRX
|
6/13/2016
|
10.18%
|
790
|
|
AMED
|
6/16/2016
|
126.16%
|
787
|
|
FRO
|
6/27/2016
|
-29.96%
|
776
|
|
ASTE
|
7/12/2016
|
-20.05%
|
761
|
|
MFC
|
9/1/2016
|
44.05%
|
710
|
|
SFM
|
9/8/2016
|
20.38%
|
703
|
|
CFFN
|
9/12/2016
|
4.82%
|
699
|
|
FOSL
|
5/11/2017
|
61.43%
|
458
|
|
HIBB
|
7/25/2017
|
85.11%
|
383
|
|
FOSL
|
7/27/2017
|
111.14%
|
381
|
|
HZO
|
8/1/2017
|
28.96%
|
376
|
|
BCE
|
5/31/2018
|
3.17%
|
73
|
|
(Since 5/31/2011)
|
|||
|
S&P
|
Annualized
|
10.89%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Annualized
|
13.30%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Annualized
|
14.82%
|
|
|
S&P
|
Total
|
110.50%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Total
|
145.67%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Total
|
170.48%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Advantage
|
2.41%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Advantage
|
3.93%
|
|
|
Previous
|
2018
|
||
|
S&P
|
98.38%
|
6.11%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
172.95%
|
-2.92%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
145.63%
|
10.12%
|
FOSL was in free fall this week, harshly reducing my gains. It’s doubly painful since I have two
positions in it.
As for timing, I’m not due for another stock trade on the
Full Model until September. And even
then I’d need a fresh buy. The most
favored stock on my watchlist remains AWK in the Water industry (which is
spectacularly unexciting for the market as a whole).
And if I were to trade today I’d take profits on AMED.
But I’m not trading today.
As for the Sector Model, XLP is close to flipping, so I may
have a trade as early as this week.
Tim
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