|
Sector Model
|
XLU
|
36.57%
|
|
|
Large Portfolio
|
Date
|
Return
|
Days
|
|
BBRY
|
7/16/2012
|
95.31%
|
216
|
|
SEAC
|
9/25/2012
|
41.86%
|
145
|
|
CAJ
|
9/25/2012
|
3.17%
|
145
|
|
CFI
|
10/31/2012
|
45.39%
|
109
|
|
RE
|
11/26/2012
|
15.69%
|
83
|
|
CGX
|
12/12/2012
|
4.72%
|
67
|
|
OKE
|
12/28/2012
|
14.13%
|
51
|
|
NSC
|
1/28/2013
|
3.32%
|
20
|
|
BOKF
|
2/4/2013
|
2.98%
|
13
|
|
SWM
|
2/12/2013
|
4.03%
|
5
|
|
S&P
|
Annualized
|
7.35%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Annualized
|
19.87%
|
|
|
Large Portfolio
|
Annualized
|
33.52%
|
Rotation: selling OKE; buying GMCR
OKE is in the OILGAS industry. GMCR (Green Mountain Coffee) is in the
Grocery industry.
In broad sector terms, OKE is in the energy sector, while
GMCR is in the consumer staples sector.
This is a bearish move for the model.
Keep in mind that these are very incremental moves from one
week to the next. If the moves begin to
form a pattern it can reveal a potential trend change. Last week the move was bullish. This week the move is bearish.
More to the point, GMCR is showing a consumer staple move
for the full Mousetrap model. But
(what’s not visible above) consumer staples is weak on the abbreviated sector
model.
Short answer: there is no significant pattern here. These are just tiny rotational moves.
The market is wildly overbought by most technical readings,
but there is no visible change in direction looming on the model.
I’d report something interesting if there was something interesting
to report. Perhaps what IS interesting
is the complete lack of direction just a few days before the sequester
hits. It’s as if nothing at all is going
to happen, and perhaps that’s what everyone out there is expecting. We’ve been faked out so many times that we
don’t believe anything anymore.
It’s TOO quiet out there.
Maybe the coffee will wake us up.
Tim
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