|
Sector Model
|
XLI
|
0.72%
|
|
|
Large Portfolio
|
Date
|
Return
|
Days
|
|
BBRY
|
7/16/2012
|
97.66%
|
281
|
|
SEAC
|
9/25/2012
|
33.17%
|
210
|
|
CAJ
|
9/25/2012
|
12.97%
|
210
|
|
BOKF
|
2/4/2013
|
10.83%
|
78
|
|
SWM
|
2/12/2013
|
9.84%
|
70
|
|
OKE
|
2/25/2013
|
9.32%
|
57
|
|
TTM
|
4/1/2013
|
9.18%
|
22
|
|
MWW
|
4/11/2013
|
-5.36%
|
12
|
|
ABX
|
4/11/2013
|
-28.09%
|
12
|
|
TPX
|
4/22/2013
|
5.13%
|
1
|
|
S&P
|
Annualized
|
8.80%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Annualized
|
24.00%
|
|
|
Large Portfolio
|
Annualized
|
31.21%
|
Rotation: selling OKE; buying NYCB.
As always, a negative gap will prevent the trade.
So, per my model, these are the best industries:
|
FURNITUR
|
|
TOBACCO
|
|
ENTTECH
|
|
BANKMID
|
|
ELECFGN
|
|
GOLDSILV
|
|
ADVERT
|
|
WIRELESS
|
|
AUTO
|
|
THRIFT
|
Furniture, Tobacco, Wireless, Auto – THINGS people need.
Elecfgn, Bankmid, GoldSilv, Thrift – point to more liquidity
from the U.S. Fed.
Advertisment, Entertainment Technology – point to more time
on people’s hands than they know what to do with.
My guess is that the Japanese liquidity has created some
more buying opportunities for the next U.S. Treasury salvo in this currency
war.
If my model is wrong, it’s going to be VERY wrong here…
Tim
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