|
Sector Model
|
XLU & XLK
|
1.29%
|
|
|
Style Model
|
Small Value
|
||
|
Large Portfolio
|
Date
|
Return
|
Days
|
|
CAJ
|
9/25/2012
|
-6.83%
|
355
|
|
ABX
|
4/11/2013
|
-26.59%
|
157
|
|
TTM
|
5/6/2013
|
-1.25%
|
132
|
|
OKE
|
6/17/2013
|
16.13%
|
90
|
|
BTI
|
7/1/2013
|
3.77%
|
76
|
|
CLH
|
7/8/2013
|
11.49%
|
69
|
|
FAST
|
7/22/2013
|
7.56%
|
55
|
|
VAR
|
8/2/2013
|
1.84%
|
44
|
|
OUTR
|
8/19/2013
|
-8.33%
|
27
|
|
QCOM
|
9/3/2013
|
3.47%
|
12
|
|
(Since 5/31/2011)
|
|||
|
S&P
|
Annualized
|
10.40%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Annualized
|
22.98%
|
|
|
Large Portfolio
|
Annualized
|
28.47%
|
Rotation: selling CAJ; buying FLR.
FLR is in the Engineering and Construction industry, but the
depressed price comes primarily from the weakness in the mining industry (which
Fluor has a part in). As such, this is
partially related to my ABX investment.
No more for this post, though. I’m working on another report detailing
exactly why penny stocks won’t even leave you with pennies…
In any case, this trade may not be possible tomorrow, with
the Summers-exit relief rally in the morning.
We’ll see. If CAJ gaps better
than FLR, the trade is on. If not, then
I’ll have to hold.
Tim
PS on the Sector Model.
I’ve been stating in previous posts that I planned to only hold one of
these stocks at a time and ignore all whipsaws.
In practice, however, I’ve mostly still been holding both. The hardest thing to DO in the market is “nothing,”
and staying out of any position is psychologically difficult to pull off. A good lesson for those siren calls NOT falling
in line with the model.
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