Monday, January 22, 2018

1/22/2018 Sector Trade

The Sector Model sold XLE and bought XLI at the open with a favorable gap.


Thursday, January 18, 2018

1/18/2018 Sector Trade

The Sector Model sold XLP and bought XLE after the open with a favorable gap.


Thursday, January 11, 2018

Saturday, December 30, 2017

12/30/2017 Final Numbers

Sector Model
XLE
4.85%
Full Model
Date
Return
Days
BT
8/11/2015
-45.32%
872
TMK
11/23/2015
52.46%
768
NVR
12/16/2015
111.51%
745
CMP
2/19/2016
12.41%
680
NVR
2/22/2016
120.42%
677
AMWD
3/17/2016
90.56%
653
CASY
5/12/2016
-0.96%
597
AEM
6/7/2016
-6.92%
571
ESRX
6/13/2016
-1.67%
565
AMED
6/16/2016
4.62%
562
FRO
6/27/2016
-35.32%
551
ASTE
7/12/2016
0.51%
536
MFC
9/1/2016
59.19%
485
SFM
9/8/2016
23.73%
478
CFFN
9/12/2016
2.84%
474
FOSL
5/11/2017
-46.19%
233
HIBB
7/25/2017
55.73%
158
FOSL
7/27/2017
-29.62%
156
HZO
8/1/2017
27.27%
151
CMPR
12/27/2017
0.28%
3
(Since 5/31/2011)
S&P
Annualized
10.96%
Sector Model
Annualized
18.34%
Full Model
Annualized
14.62%
S&P
Total
98.38%
Sector Model
Total
203.12%
Full Model
Total
145.63%
Sector Model
Advantage
7.38%
Full Model
Advantage
3.66%
Previous
2017
S&P
66.43%
19.20%
Sector Model
120.54%
37.45%
Full Model
91.27%
28.42%

The Sector Model is still outstripping the Full Model before taxes, but the Full Model is designed for trading in a taxable account, so I’m pleased with the numbers this year.

Have a Happy New Year, everyone!

Tim


Thursday, December 28, 2017

12/28/2017 FIG merger left in cash

Full Model
Date
Return
Days
BT
8/11/2015
-45.92%
870
TMK
11/23/2015
53.22%
766
NVR
12/16/2015
112.56%
743
CMP
2/19/2016
11.09%
678
NVR
2/22/2016
121.52%
675
AMWD
3/17/2016
88.81%
651
CASY
5/12/2016
-0.48%
595
AEM
6/7/2016
-6.61%
569
ESRX
6/13/2016
-1.21%
563
AMED
6/16/2016
4.53%
560
FRO
6/27/2016
-34.47%
549
ASTE
7/12/2016
-0.54%
534
MFC
9/1/2016
60.26%
483
SFM
9/8/2016
24.24%
476
CFFN
9/12/2016
3.68%
472
FIG
12/6/2016
62.69%
387
FOSL
5/11/2017
-46.81%
231
HIBB
7/25/2017
56.49%
156
FOSL
7/27/2017
-30.43%
154
HZO
8/1/2017
30.64%
149
(Since 5/31/2011)
S&P
Annualized
10.99%
Sector Model
Annualized
18.44%
Full Model
Annualized
15.09%
S&P
Total
98.62%
Sector Model
Total
204.55%
Full Model
Total
152.13%
Sector Model
Advantage
7.45%
Full Model
Advantage
4.10%
Previous
2017
S&P
66.43%
19.34%
Sector Model
120.54%
38.09%
Full Model
91.27%
31.82%

FIG cashed out today as a result of a merger, leaving me with a 62.69% profit for the year that I’ve held it.

That position goes into the evening with an opening for another buy to replace it, which I’m calculating tonight.  If I have a favorable setup I’ll make a purchase tomorrow.

Tim