Tuesday, May 31, 2016

Monday, May 23, 2016

5/23/2016 Rabbit Trade

The Rabbit sold CBI and bought AVB with a favorable gap before the close.

Sunday, May 22, 2016

5/22/2016 Update


Just a quick update on the numbers:

Mouse
XLE
-2.27%
Rabbit
Date
Return
Days
BT
8/11/2015
-9.59%
285
TM
8/12/2015
-22.01%
284
DY
10/30/2015
-5.60%
205
TMK
11/23/2015
-1.02%
181
NVR
12/16/2015
2.19%
158
CBI
2/12/2016
16.31%
100
ORA
3/14/2016
4.18%
69
AMWD
4/27/2016
0.16%
25
CASY
5/12/2016
1.69%
10
LEG
5/17/2016
-0.47%
5
Turtle
Date
Return
Days
BT
8/11/2015
-9.59%
285
TM
8/12/2015
-22.01%
284
DY
10/30/2015
-5.60%
205
TMK
11/23/2015
-1.02%
181
UPLMQ
12/1/2015
-79.55%
173
OKE
1/20/2016
111.24%
123
CMP
2/19/2016
13.28%
93
NVR
2/22/2016
6.49%
90
ENOC
3/15/2016
-6.56%
68
AMWD
3/17/2016
10.62%
66
Since 5/31/2011
Annualized
S&P
52.57%
8.86%
Mouse
115.00%
16.62%
Rabbit
57.67%
9.58%
Turtle
79.08%
12.42%
Previous
YTD
S&P
51.94%
0.41%
Mouse
77.79%
20.93%
Rabbit
57.21%
0.29%
Turtle
58.35%
13.09%

The Mouse is recovering nicely from last year, but still hasn’t yet reached its previous high:



The sector configuration is back to indicating a market top.



Nothing to do but to keep waiting out the market until we have a bullish configuration.

In the meantime, patience in the Turtle is paying off.  Sometimes doing nothing isn’t just the only thing to do – but the best.

Tim









Monday, May 16, 2016

Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Thursday, May 5, 2016

5/5/2016 Mouse Trade

The Mouse is closing its position on XLU and opening a position on XLE.

Steve has made the change in his sector fund.

As previously noted, I've stayed in XLE during the whipsaw because of an unpublished experimental version of the model.

Monday, May 2, 2016

5/2/2016 Mouse Trade

The Mouse indicates a trade back to XLU.

I will record the effects of the trade on the model tracker, and Steve has made the trade on his own sector fund.

On my private fund I'll continue to hold XLE as part of a secondary version of the model that's not published on this blog.