Friday, August 2, 2013

08/02/2013 Premarket Rotation


Sector Model
XLU & XLB
0.66%
Style Model
Small Value
Large Portfolio
Date
Return
Days
CAJ
9/25/2012
-8.60%
311
ABX
4/11/2013
-30.54%
113
TPX
4/22/2013
-12.85%
102
TTM
5/6/2013
-9.42%
88
DLB
5/13/2013
-3.18%
81
MATW
6/6/2013
6.86%
57
OKE
6/17/2013
19.58%
46
BTI
7/1/2013
5.47%
32
CLH
7/8/2013
10.60%
25
FAST
7/22/2013
7.65%
11
(Since 5/31/2011)
S&P
Annualized
11.58%
Sector Model
Annualized
24.84%
Large Portfolio
Annualized
30.51%

 

Rotation: selling TPX; buying VAR.

Sorry for the sparse posts lately.  I’ve been sick for the past few days, and I’m still finishing the edits to the Kindle edition of The Comprehensive New Testament:


I’ll keep posting the trades as they occur, and will eventually catch up with some thoughts on the anatomy of a normal business cycle and what that means in light of current market internals.  We are in a very late bull.  About 11:55pm if the market were a clock.

That doesn’t mean to head for the exits yet, however, since the market usually has a good pop up before things get hairy.

Tim

 

 

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