Sunday, December 8, 2013

12/8/2013 JOY to the world

Sector Model
XLK
0.09%
Large Portfolio
Date
Return
Days
ABX
4/11/2013
-36.02%
240
NEM
9/30/2013
-17.05%
68
BCR
10/4/2013
19.79%
64
ED
10/18/2013
-0.53%
50
ISRG
10/21/2013
0.23%
47
EW
10/28/2013
-13.98%
40
ARLP
11/11/2013
0.95%
26
JOY
11/18/2013
-1.11%
19
OXY
11/27/2013
-4.45%
10
OUTR
12/2/2013
-4.68%
5
(Since 5/31/2011)
S&P
Annualized
12.37%
Sector Model
Annualized
23.73%
Large Portfolio
Annualized
28.68%
 
No rotation today.
On Friday the sector model flipped to XLK.
Congress is trying to create another self-imposed government disaster.  The President is doubling down on his.  The week is uncertain, at best.
An “ideal” stock selection tells us a little, though.  If the model were to pick ten today, 30% of them would be in utilities:
JOY
COAL
SWM
TOBACCO
SRE
UTILWEST
WPO
NWSPAPER
PPL
UTILEAST
MHK
FURNITUR
BCR
MEDICINV
NSP
HUMAN
ROVI
ENTTECH
MGEE
UTILCENT
 
The best ranked stock of all is JOY – in the coal industry.
Granted, it SHOULD be time for that Santa Claus rally.  But we might get a lump of coal.
JOY to the world…
Tim
 
 

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