Sunday, March 26, 2017


Sector Model
XLU
1.27%
Full Model
Date
Return
Days
BT
8/11/2015
-40.89%
593
DY
10/30/2015
17.93%
513
TMK
11/23/2015
27.98%
489
NVR
12/16/2015
23.85%
466
CMP
2/19/2016
-0.65%
401
NVR
2/22/2016
29.07%
398
ENOC
3/15/2016
-26.91%
376
AMWD
3/17/2016
31.38%
374
CASY
5/12/2016
-3.00%
318
AVB
5/24/2016
5.96%
306
AEM
6/7/2016
-12.23%
292
ESRX
6/13/2016
-15.54%
286
AMED
6/16/2016
0.67%
283
FRO
6/27/2016
-9.01%
272
ASTE
7/12/2016
4.35%
257
MFC
9/1/2016
30.25%
206
SFM
9/8/2016
14.74%
199
CFFN
9/12/2016
4.20%
195
FIG
12/6/2016
58.68%
110
PMC
3/16/2017
4.90%
10
(Since 5/31/2011)
S&P
Annualized
10.01%
Sector Model
Annualized
16.81%
Full Model
Annualized
12.82%
S&P
Total
74.25%
Sector Model
Total
147.06%
Full Model
Total
101.84%
Sector Model
Advantage
6.80%
Full Model
Advantage
2.81%
Previous
2017
S&P
66.43%
4.70%
Sector Model
120.54%
12.03%
Full Model
91.27%
5.53%

Slow slugging on the Full Model, while the Sector Model keeps ticking on target.

The Full Model is currently looking at GNRC as a potential buy, but it is unlikely to happen this week.

As for the S&P as a whole, the fact that Utilities is the top pick on the Sector Market should give a clue that cautious industries are in demand.

I don’t short – but I do get defensive.  We have chaos in Washington.  While the market may not like it so much, chaos may not be such a bad thing. 

Tim


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