|
Sector Model
|
XLU
|
1.60%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Date
|
Return
|
Days
|
|
BT
|
8/11/2015
|
-51.53%
|
915
|
|
TMK
|
11/23/2015
|
39.13%
|
811
|
|
NVR
|
12/16/2015
|
68.81%
|
788
|
|
CMP
|
2/19/2016
|
6.89%
|
723
|
|
NVR
|
2/22/2016
|
75.92%
|
720
|
|
AMWD
|
3/17/2016
|
87.78%
|
696
|
|
CASY
|
5/12/2016
|
-0.75%
|
640
|
|
AEM
|
6/7/2016
|
-13.63%
|
614
|
|
ESRX
|
6/13/2016
|
-5.53%
|
608
|
|
AMED
|
6/16/2016
|
11.95%
|
605
|
|
FRO
|
6/27/2016
|
-44.34%
|
594
|
|
ASTE
|
7/12/2016
|
2.02%
|
579
|
|
MFC
|
9/1/2016
|
53.98%
|
528
|
|
SFM
|
9/8/2016
|
33.89%
|
521
|
|
CFFN
|
9/12/2016
|
-1.43%
|
517
|
|
FOSL
|
5/11/2017
|
-41.97%
|
276
|
|
HIBB
|
7/25/2017
|
86.26%
|
201
|
|
FOSL
|
7/27/2017
|
-24.09%
|
199
|
|
HZO
|
8/1/2017
|
42.76%
|
194
|
|
CMPR
|
12/27/2017
|
24.82%
|
46
|
|
(Since 5/31/2011)
|
|||
|
S&P
|
Annualized
|
10.43%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Annualized
|
15.65%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Annualized
|
13.96%
|
|
|
S&P
|
Total
|
94.39%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Total
|
164.98%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Total
|
140.08%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
Advantage
|
5.22%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
Advantage
|
3.53%
|
|
|
Previous
|
2018
|
||
|
S&P
|
98.38%
|
-2.01%
|
|
|
Sector Model
|
172.95%
|
-2.92%
|
|
|
Full Model
|
145.63%
|
-2.26%
|
In market downturns there are two strategies:
1) Raise cash and look for buying opportunities
2) Watch for overcorrections and look for rotation
opportunities.
The first option requires you to know the future. You have to know when to sell and when to
buy.
The second option requires you to know the present. You have to compare which stocks
over-corrected relative to stocks you own.
The same will hold true in the morning for the Sector Model. Two sectors are in the buy zone. The one that over-corrects at the open will
be the one I will buy.
Tim
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