Sunday, January 13, 2019

1/13/2019 The Response to Volatility...


Sector Model
XLI
-6.39%
Full Model
Date
Return
Days
BT
8/11/2015
-50.36%
1251
TMK
11/23/2015
36.14%
1147
NVR
12/16/2015
55.91%
1124
CMP
2/19/2016
-27.64%
1059
NVR
2/22/2016
62.48%
1056
AMWD
3/17/2016
-1.16%
1032
CASY
5/12/2016
17.37%
976
FRO
6/27/2016
-20.94%
930
MFC
9/1/2016
25.40%
864
SFM
9/8/2016
22.15%
857
CFFN
9/12/2016
11.74%
853
FOSL
5/11/2017
22.58%
612
HIBB
7/25/2017
21.22%
537
FOSL
7/27/2017
60.33%
535
HZO
8/1/2017
39.60%
530
BCE
5/31/2018
4.97%
227
DFS
10/21/2018
-15.37%
84
CL
10/29/2018
3.17%
76
ATVI
11/23/2018
-8.58%
51
KMI
12/31/2018
8.29%
13
(Since 5/31/2011)
S&P
Annualized
8.97%
Sector Model
Annualized
12.54%
Full Model
Annualized
12.20%
S&P
Total
92.52%
Sector Model
Total
146.09%
Full Model
Total
140.43%
Sector Model
Advantage
3.57%
Full Model
Advantage
3.22%
Previous
2019
S&P
85.79%
3.63%
Sector Model
129.27%
9.16%
Full Model
122.54%
8.04%



The awful ending to last year rolled over into a decent beginning for this year.



Which will likely turn into another awful few weeks.



Welcome to volatility.



My response?



Nothing.



Tim




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