Tuesday, February 19, 2019

2/19/2019 Potential Trade Warning


Sector Model
XLV
2.45%
Full Model
Date
Return
Days
BT
8/11/2015
-50.06%
1286
TMK
11/23/2015
41.72%
1182
NVR
12/16/2015
60.54%
1159
CMP
2/19/2016
-11.46%
1094
NVR
2/22/2016
67.30%
1091
AMWD
3/17/2016
15.38%
1067
CASY
5/12/2016
21.69%
1011
FRO
6/27/2016
-17.56%
965
MFC
9/1/2016
31.81%
899
SFM
9/8/2016
24.75%
892
CFFN
9/12/2016
9.73%
888
FOSL
5/11/2017
3.05%
647
HIBB
7/25/2017
34.50%
572
FOSL
7/27/2017
34.78%
570
HZO
8/1/2017
32.05%
565
BCE
5/31/2018
9.72%
262
DFS
10/21/2018
-3.53%
119
CL
10/29/2018
11.20%
111
ATVI
11/23/2018
-12.39%
86
KMI
12/31/2018
20.32%
48
(Since 5/31/2011)
S&P
Annualized
9.83%
Sector Model
Annualized
13.57%
Full Model
Annualized
12.44%
S&P
Total
106.19%
Sector Model
Total
167.00%
Full Model
Total
147.16%
Sector Model
Advantage
3.74%
Full Model
Advantage
2.61%
Previous
2019
S&P
85.79%
10.98%
Sector Model
129.27%
19.72%
Full Model
122.54%
11.07%



Numbers from the weekend.  I’m posting now because the potential FRO to ALLE trade is coming closer.

Could happen as early as this week.

Tim






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